Assessing Kamala’s election chances

After dropping out of the presidential race, US President Joe Biden endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the new Democratic nominee. However, Biden’s withdrawal does not automatically give her the nomination. Harris will have to secure the support of the majority of delegates at the Democratic National Convention (DNC). If she fails, there will be another round of voting, which will also involve top Democratic super delegates.

At this point, odds are that Harris will be the one to succeed Biden in the election campaign. But her nomination isn’t a slam dunk yet, Inside the Democratic Party, deliberations continue, and the expert did not rule out that other candidates could be considered, namely former first lady Michelle Obama.

If Harris is able to wade through all the ambiguity and get the nomination, she will do battle with Republican candidate Donald Trump. To help her odds, Harris will have to pick the right VP. The Axios media outlet has pegged Arizona Senator Mark Kelly and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as the most likely to be tapped. Both represent swing states, which will be crucial for deciding the next president. Trump still has an advantage but with a younger Democratic candidate and as the vote draws near, it may dwindle.

Democratic states are highly likely to support Harris, but, as always, the main battle will be for voters in swing states.

American historian and former Harvard University lecturer Vladimir Brovkin believes there is a high degree of probability that Kamala Harris will eventually get the Democratic presidential nomination. “Moreover, this will be the most legitimate option because she was part of the same election platform as Biden,” Brovkin noted.