India will surpass the not so Great Britain in the world’s largest economy rankings in 2019.
As per Economic data available, while the UK and France have regularly switched places owing to similar levels of development and roughly equal populations, India’s climb up the rankings will be permanent.
The projected real GDP growth in 2019 will be just 1.6 % for the UK and 1.7 % for France but it will be a hooping 7.6 % or more for India. India and France will surpass the UK in the world’s largest economy rankings in 2019, thus knocking it from fifth to seventh place in the global table.
According to World Bank data, India became the world’s sixth largest economy in 2017 surpassing France and now will go past the UK which stood at the fifth position.
As per the Finance Minister of India, the Country is is soon going to be among 3 largest economies in coming years. The global economy as a whole is expected to slow in 2019 as G7 countries return to long-run average growth rates. It is expected that the pick-up in growth of most major economies seen between the end of 2016 and the beginning of 2018 is now over.
As per the World Bank data, in 2017, India became the sixth largest economy with a GDP of $2.59 trillion, relegating France to the seventh position. The GDP of France stood at $2.58 trillion.
The UK, which is facing Brexit blues, had a GDP of $2.62 trillion, which is about $25 billion more than that of India. However the actual measurement of Economy is given by the PPP ie purchasing power parity which gives the true Conversion value of any Currency. So as per the PPP India is already the third largest Economy in the World. What now we have to focus is on improving the Per Capita Income of our population.
PwC’s Global Economy Watch is a short publication that looks at the trends and issues affecting the global economy and details its latest projections for the world’s leading economies. It says
“India should return to a healthy growth rate of 7.6 per cent in 2019-20, if there are no major headwinds in the global economy such as enhanced trade tensions or supply side shocks in oil.”
“The growth will be supported through further realisation of efficiency gains from the newly adopted GST and policy impetus expected in the first year of a new government,” said Ranen Banerjee, Partner and Leader – Public Finance and Economics, PwC India.
Mike Jakeman, senior economist at PwC, said India is the fastest growing large economy in the world, with an enormous population, favourable demographics and high catch-up potential due to low initial GDP per head.
“The UK and France have regularly alternated in having the larger economy, but subdued growth in the UK in 2018 and again in 2019 is likely to tip the balance in France’s favour. The relative strength of the euro against the pound is an important factor here,” Jakeman said.
