US needs Ukraine crisis to harm European economy
A Ukrainian serviceman patrols along a position at the front line with the eastern rebels not far from Avdiivka, Donetsk region, Ukraine. Fears have mounted of an escalation of the conflict in eastern Ukraine, where government forces have battled the rebels since 2014.
Combat crews of the S-400 air defense system taking up combat duty during joint exercises by Russia and Belarus on February 9, 2022 which center around “suppressing and repelling external aggression” amid Western claims that Moscow is plotting a major escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Photo: AFP
The Ukraine crisis has become ever more complex, with the US claiming that Russia is planning for an imminent invasion while Moscow continuing to deny it. In fact Moscow has been accusing Washington of spreading fear via disinformation. Many analysts say that Washington needs the crisis to remain high even if Russia has no intention of using force.
Keeping the crisis intense will benefit the US in several fields: legitimizing its military presence in Europe by demonizing Russia and harming Russia-EU ties, increasing uncertainties and concerns to harm the eurozone economy. Naturally this will lead to more capital flight from the continent to the US and thus easing the US inflation pressure. This tension in Europe may also help to stir up trouble for China-Russia ties.
Therefore, the US is using all means to maintain the heightened tension, including spreading disinformation and strengthening military deployments to provoke Russia – in other words, the US is sacrificing Ukraine’s security to serve its own strategy to compete with Russia, experts said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin had telephone conversations with French President Emmanuel Macron and US President Joe Biden on Saturday as reported by Tass. These were held at the request of Paris and Washington.
Putin reminded his counterparts that “the West does not do enough to force Ukraine to implement the Minsk Agreements” and said “the Russian response to the US and NATO answers on security guarantees will be presented shortly.”
Paris said after the conversation that they do not believe that Moscow “is preparing an offensive” against Ukraine, while Washington stated that it is still unclear whether Russia plans to achieve its goal diplomatically or “by way of using force.”
Analysts said no party can bear the consequence of the situation going out of control totally. Also if conflict breaks out, it is Europe which will be devastated not the US. In fact US may even benefit if the conflict remains limited. In this scenario, it would harm Ukraine and its neighbors, so Washington is the one that potentially welcomes a conflict, not Moscow, Kiev, Paris or other parties.
On the other hand China has asked its nationals to leave Ukraine because “the Wuhan Virus epidemic situation is worsening in Ukraine, and it caused multiple cases of Chinese nationals getting infected in Ukraine or found to be infected after returning to China. At the same time, the Ukraine-Russia tensions have drawn attention from many parties, and different types of contradictory information have emerged.”
The embassy urged Chinese nationals in the country to strengthen epidemic prevention and pay close attention to “the changing situation” of Ukraine crisis.
Some other countries like the US and the UK, many Western countries, including Australia, Italy, Israel, the Netherlands and Japan have told their citizens to leave Ukraine. Some have evacuated diplomatic staff and their families.
Logic says that It’s totally unnecessary for Russia to invade Ukraine at this stage unless Ukraine launches attacks against Crimea or the Eastern Ukraine regions first. But Washington continues to pay great efforts to hype the information about ‘Russia’s invasion’ in the past few months, even though the information sounds very unrealistic and it’s harmful for the situation. So the US is doing this for its own reasons.
Though USA desperately needs capital flight from EU To United States , the European capital is mature, and there are no signs of large capital transfers to US market, so perhaps this is why the US is making efforts to ramp up the tensions.
Keeping a military deterrence but not attacking Ukraine is the best choice for Russia at the moment because Moscow needs to make NATO feel the risks and does not want Ukraine to join NATO. A hot war will ruin everything and neither Moscow nor Kiev can afford such an unpredictable scenario.
“It’s possible that if Moscow and Kiev both keep calm, the US would use its proxies, such as NGOs or agents in Ukraine to create new troubles or to spark conflicts between Russia and Ukraine.
After India pointedly refused to take sides on the Russian Ukraine crisis , on Sunday, Australia followed the US to urge China to help them push Russia, with Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison calling on China to not remain “chillingly silent” on the crisis. On Thursday, US Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield said “We would hope that the Chinese would play a role in encouraging the Russians to do the right thing.”
Chinese analysts say that the attempt is clear, as Washington wants to create a trap for China – if China does what they say based on their information about Russia’s invasion, then China-Russia ties would be harmed, but if China does not act they can accuse China of remaining “chillingly silent.”
Chinese Ambassador to the UN Zhang Jun responded on his Twitter account on Thursday immediately that “Our message is consistent and clear: Resolve any differences through diplomacy. Stop hyping up the tension. Russia’s legitimate security concerns should be seriously addressed.”
Yes India should step In the crisis to mediate, but only if both Russia and Ukraine bring the negotiation to it together or rather jointly they should go to the UN Security Council.
